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Nintendo Switch 2 Sales Forecast for 2025

by Claire Feb 14,2025

Gaming analyst Mat Piscatella forecasts robust US sales for the Nintendo Switch 2, projecting approximately 4.3 million units sold in 2025, contingent on a first-half launch. This prediction echoes the original Switch's impressive 4.8 million unit sales by the end of 2017, a figure that exceeded initial projections and necessitated air-freighting consoles to meet demand. The anticipation surrounding the Switch 2 is palpable, frequently trending on social media. However, Piscatella cautions that online buzz doesn't guarantee sales success. Critical factors influencing the Switch 2's performance include launch timing, hardware quality, and the competitiveness of its game lineup.

Piscatella's projection places the Switch 2 as roughly one-third of the total US video game console market share in 2025 (excluding handheld PCs). He acknowledges potential supply chain challenges, mirroring the original Switch's launch, but remains uncertain about Nintendo's preparedness. The possibility exists that Nintendo has proactively addressed potential shortages, learning from past experiences.

While optimistic about the Switch 2's sales potential, Piscatella anticipates the PlayStation 5 retaining its top spot in US console sales. The Switch 2's considerable hype is a positive factor, but the PS5's anticipated 2025 release of Grand Theft Auto 6 poses significant competition. Ultimately, the Switch 2's success hinges on its hardware capabilities and the appeal of its launch titles. A strong showing in both areas could propel it to market leadership.

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